1978 DOE SPS Economic Demographic Issues

TABLE OF CONTENTS ABSTRACT ............................................................ 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................... 3 1 INTRODUCTION ...................................................... 9 REFERENCES......................................................... 10 2 INDUSTRIAL LOCATION................................................ 15 2.1 THEORY...................................................... 15 2.1.1 Least Cost Theory..................................... 15 2.1.2 Maximum Profit Theory................................. 2.1.3 Theories of Locational Interdependence .............. 17 2.1.4 Integration of Least Cost and Locational Interdependence ....................................... 1® 2.1.5 Spatial General Equilibrium ........................... I9 2.1.6 Recent Contributions ................................. 20 2.2 FACTORS AFFECTING INDUSTRIAL LOCATION ........................ 21 2.2.1 Primary Factors...................................... 21 2.2.2 Secondary Factors .................................... 23 2.3 APPROACHES FOR REGIONAL AND LOCAL ANALYSIS ................. 23 2.3.1 Comparative Cost Analysis............................. 24 2.3.2 Input-Output Technique................................ 24 2.3.3 Correlation and Regression Analysis ................. 28 2.3.4 Export-Base Theory ................................... 25 REFERENCES......................................................... 28 3 RELATION OF POPULATION TO INDUSTRIAL LOCATION ..................... 31 3.1 THEORY...................................................... 31 3.1.1 The Muth Model....................................... 32 3.1.2 The Santini Model.................................... 32 3.2 ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, EXPORT BASE, AND POPULATION CHANGE. . . 33 3.2.1 The Causal Relationship between Export-Base Employment and Population Change .............. 34 3.2.2 An Export Base Model of Employment and Population Change ............................... 37 3.2.3 Relevance of the Social and Economic Assessment Model (SEAM) to SPS............................. 41 REFERENCES......................................................... 42 4 ANALYSIS AND EVALUATION OF SPS SOCIODEMOGRAPHIC ISSUES .............. 43 4.1 DESCRIPTION OF THE SPS CONCEPT................................ 43 4.2 ISSUES RELATING TO GROUND RECEIVING AND DISTRIBUTION OF SPS ENERGY................................................ 44 4.2.1 Siting................................................. 44 4.2.2 Deployment............................................. 47

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