In only one case -- the unconstrained, high-energy-intensiveness scenario (UH) — does the economy of 2030 depend on electricity more than it does at present. In all other cases, the use of electricity can be expected to decline in relative importance, at least after the year 2000. In Fig. 4.6 electrification is plotted as a percentage of net energy use in the economy, for three representative scenarios. It is noteworthy that the foregoing results are qualitatively dependent on most of the detailed supply/demand price projections. The calculated supply-demand balances are shown graphically for all scenarios for the years 2000 and 2030 in Figs. 4.4 and 4.5. Price projections for all scenarios are displayed graphically in Figs. 4.7-4.10 for oil, gas, coal, and electricity, respectively. Nuclear fuel prices for light water reactors and LMFBRs are shown in Table 4.4. As expected, energy prices rise much faster and higher in the 'constrained' scenarios than in the unconstrained cases. Table 4.5 shows a comparison of the six comparative assessment scenarios and projections updated by the Energy Information Administration.*41 The Fig. 4.6. Electrification as a Percentage of Net Energy Use: Three Scenarios
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